Soccer
20.06.2024, 08:29
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Spain - Italy predictions and free betting tips [20/06/2024]

Soccer
UEFA - EURO
Spain
Spain
Home
20.06.2024, 19:00
1 : 0
1:0 (0:0)
Italy
Italy
Away
Over (2)
Odds: 1.74Stake: 5/10
Pinnacle
lose
-5.0

This evening at the "Veltins-Arena" in Gelsenkirchen, a crucial match of the second round of Group B between Spain and Italy will take place. 

Probable Line-ups

Spain: Unai Simón, Dani Carvajal, Robin Le Normand, Nacho Fernández, Marc Cucurella, Pedri, Rodri, Fabián Ruiz, Lamine Yamal, Álvaro Morata, Nico Williams.

Italy: Gianluigi Donnarumma, Giovanni Di Lorenzo, Alessandro Bastoni, Riccardo Calafiori, Federico Dimarco, Matteo Darmian, Jorginho, Nicolò Barella, Davide Frattesi, Lorenzo Pellegrini, Gianluca Scamacca.

Spain

In their first match of Euro 2024, under the guidance of Luis de la Fuente, Spain showcased a new style of play and secured a convincing 3-0 victory over Croatia. The match took place at the Berlin Olympic Stadium, where the Spaniards set out to aggressively dominate from the start. In the first 13 minutes, the team executed their famous "tiki-taka", making it difficult for Croatia to exit their defensive third. Not only did Spain control the ball, but they also skillfully used opportunities for quick attacks. In the 29th minute, Álvaro Morata opened the scoring after an excellent combination initiated by Pedri and Fabián Ruiz, who perfectly passed the ball to Morata. Capitalising on a mistake by the Croatian defenders, the often-criticised Morata precisely sent the ball into the net, becoming Spain's top scorer at the Euros, scoring in his third consecutive tournament.

Towards the end of the first half, Spain scored two more goals, demonstrating the efficiency of their tactics. Fabián Ruiz doubled the score with a powerful finish following a passing combination, and Dani Carvajal, receiving the ball after a free-kick, scored the third goal. These quick and accurate attacks allowed Spain to end the first half with three goals, despite Croatia controlling the ball for most of the time. In the second half, the game slowed down significantly, but "La Roja" allowed Croatia more possession and goal-scoring opportunities. This was the first time in the last 135 matches that Spain conceded ball possession to their opponent, marking a noticeable shift from their usual style of play.

Towards the end of the match, an incident occurred that could have significantly changed the game's course: goalkeeper Unai Simón made a poor clearance leading to a foul by Rodri on Bruno Petković in the penalty area. After reviewing the VAR, the referee decided not to send off one of Manchester City's best players, opting for a yellow card instead. Simón later redeemed himself by saving Petković's penalty, keeping his goal intact until the end of the match.

Italy

In their first Euro 2024 match under coach Luciano Spalletti, Italy showcased their prowess with a 2-1 victory over Albania in the intense Adriatic Derby in Dortmund. Despite the fastest goal in European Championship history by Albanian Nedim Bajrami in just 23 seconds, Italy managed to recover and seize the initiative. Bajrami expertly capitalised on a wild mistake by Dimarco, slotting the ball past Donnarumma at the near post. Italy's response was swift: in the 11th minute, Alessandro Bastoni headed the ball into the net following a pass from Lorenzo Pellegrini, and then Nicolò Barella secured the lead with a powerful strike from the edge of the field. This historic goal saw Barella score his 10th goal for the national team, equalling Zola and Cassano. Federico Chiesa's 12 shots on goal and 4 successful dribbles underscored Italy's dominance in the first half.

In the second half, despite Albania's efforts to equalise, the Italian team showed confidence. Goalkeeper and captain Gianluigi Donnarumma played a key role, saving several dangerous moments, including a shot from Rey Manaj that could have been decisive in the 92nd minute. Italy demonstrated that they remain contenders for their third European Championship title.

Head-to-Head

Spain and Italy frequently meet in decisive stages of major international tournaments, showcasing a high level of competition. One of the most memorable moments was the Euro 2012 final, where Spain secured a convincing 4-0 victory, thanks to goals from Jordi Alba, David Silva, Fernando Torres, and Juan Mata. In the last Euro in 2021, the teams met in the semi-final, with Italy winning 2-1, a decisive moment came in the penalty shootout after misses by Morata and Olmo, with Jorginho sealing the victory. That same year in October, Spain took revenge, defeating Italy 2-1 in the Nations League. In 2023, in the Nations League final, Spain also defeated Italy 2-1, with goals from Pino and Joselu.

Match Prediction: Spain vs Italy

Spain allowed too many opportunities for Croatia's veterans near their goal, which Italy will not forgive. Spalletti's team plays in an ultra-modern style and is quite capable of not losing to the Spaniards. My bet is on X2, Spain played well for a half-hour stretch in the middle of the first half in the first match, which may not be enough against the European champions.

Total Goals Prediction

I expect an exciting match between two renewed and well-coached teams, with a total over 2 goals looking appealing with a good odds of 1.7. Both De la Fuente and Spalletti's sides have attacks that clearly outweigh their defences, with even the central defenders frequently joining the attacks.

Match Events

15
'
G. Donnarumma
Rodri
45
'
46
'
B. Cristante
46
'
A. Cambiaso
46
'
B. Cristante
R. Calafiori (o.g.)
1 - 0
55
'
64
'
M. Zaccagni
64
'
M. Retegui
R. Le Normand
69
'
A. Baena
71
'
F. Torres
71
'
A. Perez
78
'
M. Oyarzabal
78
'
82
'
G. Raspadori
M. Merino
90
'
D. Carvajal
90
'
Spain
Italy

Match Statistics

Spain
Italy
57
Ball Possession
43
20
Shots
4
11
Shots off target
3
9
Shots on target
1
0
Counter Attacks
0
5
Corners
2
0
Offsides
0
17
Fouls
14
3
Yellow cards
2
0
Red Cards
0

Recent Games

SpainSpain
Europe: Euro
15.06
2024
Spain
3
Croatia
0
w
World: Friendly International
08.06
2024
Spain
5
Northern Ireland
1
w
World: Friendly International
05.06
2024
Spain
5
Andorra
0
w
World: Friendly International
26.03
2024
Spain
3
Brazil
3
d
World: Friendly International
22.03
2024
Spain
0
Colombia
1
l
South Africa: Nedbank Cup
24.02
2024
Ravens
2
Spain
1
l
Europe: Euro - Qualification
19.11
2023
Spain
3
Georgia
1
w
ItalyItaly
Europe: Euro
15.06
2024
Italy
2
Albania
1
w
World: Friendly International
09.06
2024
Italy
1
Bosnia & Herzegovina
0
w
World: Friendly International
04.06
2024
Italy
0
Turkey
0
d
World: Friendly International
24.03
2024
Italy
2
Ecuador
0
w
World: Friendly International
21.03
2024
Italy
2
Venezuela
1
w
World: Friendly International
21.03
2024
Venezuela
0
Italy
0
d
Europe: Euro - Qualification
20.11
2023
Ukraine
0
Italy
0
d
Show more

Head-to-head Statistics

Spain
Spain
7
Win
10
Draw
5
Win
Italy
Italy
15.06.2023
-
UEFA Nations League
Spain
2
2 : 1
Italy
1
06.10.2021
-
UEFA Nations League
Italy
1
1 : 2
Spain
2
06.07.2021
-
Euro
Italy
1
1 : 1
Spain
1
02.09.2017
-
WC Qualifying Europe
Spain
3
3 : 0
Italy
0
06.10.2016
-
WC Qualifying Europe
Italy
1
1 : 1
Spain
1
27.06.2016
-
European Championship
Italy
2
2 : 0
Spain
0
24.03.2016
-
Friendly
Italy
1
1 : 1
Spain
1
05.03.2014
-
Friendly
Spain
1
1 : 0
Italy
0
27.06.2013
-
Confederations Cup
Spain
0
0 : 0
Italy
0
01.07.2012
-
European Championship
Spain
4
4 : 0
Italy
0
10.06.2012
-
European Championship
Spain
1
1 : 1
Italy
1
10.08.2011
-
Friendly
Italy
2
2 : 1
Spain
1
22.06.2008
-
European Championship
Spain
0
0 : 0
Italy
0
26.03.2008
-
Friendly
Spain
1
1 : 0
Italy
0
27.04.2004
-
Friendly
Italy
1
1 : 1
Spain
1
28.03.2000
-
Friendly
Spain
2
2 : 0
Italy
0
17.11.1998
-
Friendly
Italy
2
2 : 2
Spain
2
08.07.1994
-
World Cup
Italy
2
2 : 1
Spain
1
13.06.1988
-
European Championship
Italy
1
1 : 0
Spain
0
11.06.1980
-
European Championship
Spain
0
0 : 0
Italy
0
31.05.1934
-
World Cup
Italy
1
1 : 0
Spain
0
30.05.1934
-
World Cup
Italy
1
1 : 1
Spain
1
Show more

Team Comparison

Spain
Spain
vs
Italy
Italy
Spain
Country
Italy
Madrid
Venue City
Roma
Luis de la Fuente
Coach
L. Spalletti
1913
Founded
1898
Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
Venue Name
Stadio Olimpico
Yes
Is National Team
Yes

UEFA - EURO

Spain
Spain
vs
Italy
Italy
-
Rank
-
1
Win
1
2
Lose
1
1
Draw
1
9
Goals Scored
3
3
Goals Conceded
3
2
Clean Sheet
0

Goal Statistics

Spain
2
22.2%
1
11.1%
1
11.1%
1
11.1%
2
22.2%
2
22.2%
0-15'
15-30'
30-45'
45-60'
60-75'
75-90'
Italy
1
33.3%
1
33.3%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
1
33.3%
0-15'
15-30'
30-45'
45-60'
60-75'
75-90'
Avg First Goal Scored
Spain
28m
Italy
50m
Avg First Goal Conceded
Spain
65m
Italy
28m
Avg Goals Per Game Scored
Spain
2.25
Italy
1
Avg Goals Per Game Conceded
Spain
0.75
Italy
1

Trophies

Spain
Spain
FIFA World Cup (World)
Winner1
2010 South Africa
Winner3
2012 Poland/Ukraine, 2008 Austria/Switzerland, 1964 Spain
2nd Place1
1984 France
2nd Place1
2013 Brazil
Winner2
2008 Austria/Switzerland, 1964 Spain
2nd Place1
1920 Antwerpen
Winner1
2022/2023
2nd Place1
2020/2021
Italy
Italy
FIFA World Cup (World)
Winner4
2006 Germany, 1982 Spain, 1938 France, 1934 Italy
2nd Place2
1994 USA, 1970 Mexico
Winner2
2020, 1968 Italy
2nd Place2
2012 Poland/Ukraine, 2000 Netherlands/Belgium
Winner1
1968 Italy
Winner1
1936 Berlin
2nd Place1
2022

FAQ

Will the prediction for the match between Spain and Italy on 20/06/2024 come true?
The prediction for the match between Spain and Italy is not an exact result, the forecast is purely informational in nature and is solely the opinion of the editorial staff and users of our website.
Who are the authors of the predictions for the match between Spain and Italy on 20/06/2024?
The authors of the predictions for the match between Spain and Italy are representatives of the VP-Bet editorial team, as well as users of our website. These can be both experienced players and newcomers who have decided to try their hand at this role. The history of user predictions is presented on our site, making it easier for you to navigate and make quick decisions.
Why should we trust your prediction for the match between Spain and Italy on 20/06/2024?
We are one of the oldest information resources on sports betting. We have an extensive database of statistics, analytics, and the latest news from the world of sports. Our reputation is built on a solid history of accurate predictions and a deep understanding of sports.
How do I choose the best prediction for the match between Spain and Italy on 20/06/2024?
Our users publish over 1000 predictions for matches every day - each predictor has a statistics report reflecting their successes and failures. To choose the best prediction for the match between Spain and Italy, you can look at the statistics of the tipsters you like, analyse the current situation in the teams, and then make a decision based on this info.
Why should we trust your predictions for the match between Spain and Italy on 20/06/2024?
We are not affiliated with any betting agency or any sportsbooks, therefore, we publish our own vision of the final results on our platform, as well as we welcome all our users to post their own predictions here.
stake-savvy
Benjamin Carter
Sports Analyst

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