On Wednesday, 14 February, in the first match of the Champions League ⅛ finals, Lazio will host Bayern Munich. While the Romans will try to reach their first tournament quarter-finals in the last 24 years, the Bavarians are the obvious appointment favourites despite their currently less-than-stellar form.
Lazio: Provedel; Marusic, Romagnoli, Gila, Hysaj; Guendouzi, Rovella, Alberto; Isaksen, Immobile, Anderson.
Bayern: Neuer; Mazraoui, Upamecano, Kim, Guerreiro; Kimmich, Goretzka; Sane, Muller, Musiala; Kane.
Lazio has reached the Champions League playoffs again after their 2020-21 campaign where they lost to Bayern with an aggregate score of 2-6. In the 6th round of the group stage, Maurizio's charges had the opportunity to claim 1st place in their quartet when they faced off against Atletico Madrid. However, Atleti dominated and won without significant complications (2:0).
In Serie A, the Biancocelesti are still aiming for a European qualification zone finish, yet a 0:0 home draw with Napoli and a 3:1 defeat against Atalanta have seen them drop to the 9th place in the league table. Nonetheless, this weekend saw a 1:3 victory against the sinking side Cagliari, with Immobile and Felipe Anderson scoring goals. It's essential to note that the hosts have a really convincing home record, having suffered only one defeat in their last 15 domestic matches across all competitions.
Last season, the Bavarians beat PSG in both matches of the first round of the Champions League playoffs but were annihilated by Manchester City in the quarterfinals. As is often the case, the Reds had their fill on the Champions League group stage and did not suffer a single defeat there: they won against Manchester United (4:3 and 0:1), Galatasaray (1:3 and 2:1), and Copenhagen.
Furthermore, Bayern Munich's last group stage debacle in the chief continental championship was way back in 2017 when PSG beat them 3:1 at Parc des Princes. In the Bundesliga, Bayern currently hold the 2nd place in the overall standings with a real chance of losing out on the championship title, having sustained a crushing 3:0 defeat against Bayer Leverkusen in the last round.
These teams met at the same stage in the 2021 Champions League playoffs, with Bayern Munich winning both matches with relative ease (1:4 and 2:1).
Lazio should already be content with their impressive achievement—the passage to the playoffs from a comparatively tough group. However, it would be naive for them to count on further progress.
Lazio is capable of scoring a goal, despite their expected conceding. Bayern Munich has shown some defensive frailty, so the bet is on 'both teams to score'.
Visitors will unsurprisingly take over the ball and methodically dismantle the compact defence of the 'Eagles'. Expect at least six corners to be taken by Bayern Munich.
Neither team is notorious for excessive rough play on the field, so the bet is TU 4.5 on aggregate yellow cards.
A prediction of a precise 1:2 score in favour of Bayern Munich.
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