American Hockey League. Playoff 2024. Calder Cup. Best of three series. Score stands at 1-2. This could possibly be the last match in this series, as there's already a team leading with two victories, who could potentially advance further tonight. The Rockford IceHogs will be hosting the Grand Rapids Griffins in their home ground.
This team is currently one step away from playoffs elimination. Interestingly, as the series unfolds, it seems like Rockford is progressively getting closer to a win. However, they've only managed one victory thus far, defeating their opponents 5:1 in the second encounter. In contrast, they lost the first and third matches, with scores of 3:2 and 4:3, both in overtime. Hence, they were a puck's distance away from a win, a win which would have ended the series.
As the second team of the Central Division, this squad has managed to secure a leading position after the first place. However, they only outscored their opponents by one point. Thus, the series between the Grand Rapids Griffins and Rockford IceHogs is pretty evenly matched.
Despite the Griffins' current lead, they secured it with great difficulty, which raises questions about the series' fairness at this stage. Regardless, the fact remains that the Griffins have two victories versus one by the IceHogs, and the series could conclude today with a win by Grand Rapids.
During this regular season, Rockford IceHogs and Grand Rapids Griffins have faced each other in 12 matches. Rockford claimed six wins, while Grand Rapids similarly won six games. In the playoffs, the Griffins outplayed the IceHogs 3:2 in overtime in the first match. In the second encounter, IceHogs turned the tables, winning 5:1. Subsequently, the Griffins took the lead again in the third game - 4:3 in overtime.
Nonetheless, I believe this series will stretch to five matches, hence I'm leaning towards W1, albeit being a risky bet.
As for total over/under, I would choose TU(5.5). In this series, the teams consistently hover around this total.
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