On Friday, 12th of April, Serie A’s 32nd round holds the duel between "Lazio" and "Salernitana" at the Lazio home ground. Managed by Igor Tudor, Lazio suffered several losses consecutively both in the cup and league. Now, they simply must redeem themselves before their home crowd in a duel with the league's outsider.
"Lazio": Mandas; Casale, Patric, Gila; Marusic, Guendouzi, Vecino, Anderson; Alberto, Kamada; Castellanos.
"Salernitana": Costil; Pierozzi, Manolas, Pirola, Zanoli; Tchaouna, Legowski, Maggiore, Vignato; Candreva, Ikwuemesi.
The encounter will take place at the Olympic Stadium in Rome.
Finishing only at 8th place in Serie A, "Lazio" didn't live up to expectations this season. The ticket to next season's Champions League remains unachievable, yet they are still capable of finishing within the European Cup zone. A series of unfortunate results led to the dismissal of head coach Maurizio Sarri in March. During the international break, he was replaced by Croatian Igor Tudor. The "Biancocelesti" immediately managed to beat "Juventus" 1:0, but the past weekend's derby against "Roma" ended in a loss (1:0). Gianluca Mancini's single goal in the first half settled the score.
Between these two matches, Lazio was also defeated by "Juventus" in the first semi final match of the Italy Cup (2:0). Notably, the sky-blues have been struggling to perform at home ground: having only accumulated 24 points in 15 domestic matches, they've scored 15 goals while allowing 12. Lazio's schedule is in favour of the home team. After the duel with sinking "Salernitana", they are slated to confront an unmotivated "Genoa" followed by a modest "Verona" at home.
This season, "Salernitana" has shown less than spectacular results, deservedly ending up at the tournament's bottom with only 15 points earned in 31 rounds. The club lags 12 points behind the safety zone and has already accepted the inevitable downgrade. The white-brown team is currently struggling, having not managed to secure a victory in any of their past 13 matches (3 draws, 10 losses). After losing three games in a row, the guests were able to hold "Sassuolo" for a 2:2 draw during the past weekend.
It's noteworthy that Salernitana has performed dreadfully on the road this campaign, having gathered a mere 7 points from 15 away games – 19th ranking in the division. The team has failed to score in eight away matches, setting an anti-record in Serie A and Serie B. Their goal scored tally stands at 25 - the worst alongside "Empoli", while allowing 64 goals highlights the team's dire state.
During the first round of the current season, Salernitana sensationally triumphed over Lazio 2:1. Moreover, the white-browns also celebrated victory in the latest face-to-face encounter at the Stadio Olimpico (1:3).
Despite Lazio's ongoing struggle this season, they are expected to grab the much-needed three points to continue the push towards the European Cup zone. Tudor's team is superior to their rivals in terms of class and are motivated to compensate for their recent humiliating loss in the derby. In contrast, Salernitana has already accepted their inevitable relegation and have been losing left and right. I prognosticate a win for the favourites with a -1.5 handicap.
In five out of the previous six encounters between these teams, a total of more than 2.5 goals was scored. Considering the defensive issues of both teams, the same score is expected this time.
The hosts are set to dominate the match and won't hesitate attacking the opponent's goal - I'm betting on Lazio's individual total over 5.5 corners.
Salernitana is inferior to the opponent in class and will be forced to compensate for this disparity with numerous fouls. I expect the guests to get more yellow cards.
I'm betting on an accurate score of 3:1 in favour of "Lazio".
# | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | G | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 20 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 32:12 | 47 | |
2 | Inter | 18 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 31 | 46:15 | 43 | |
3 | Atalanta | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 44:21 | 43 | |
4 | Lazio | 20 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 34:28 | 36 | |
5 | Juventus | 20 | 7 | 13 | 0 | 15 | 32:17 | 34 | |
6 | Fiorentina | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 32:20 | 32 | |
7 | AC Milan | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 29:19 | 31 | |
8 | Bologna | 18 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 27:23 | 29 | |
9 | Udinese | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | -5 | 23:28 | 26 | |
10 | AS Roma | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 28:26 | 24 | |
11 | Genoa | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | -10 | 17:27 | 23 | |
12 | Torino | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | -5 | 20:25 | 22 | |
13 | Lecce | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | -18 | 14:32 | 20 | |
14 | Empoli | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | -6 | 19:25 | 20 | |
15 | Parma | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | -10 | 25:35 | 19 | |
16 | Como | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | -11 | 22:33 | 19 | |
17 | Verona | 20 | 6 | 1 | 13 | -20 | 24:44 | 19 | |
18 | Cagliari | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | -14 | 19:33 | 18 | |
19 | Venezia | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | -15 | 18:33 | 14 | |
20 | Monza | 20 | 2 | 7 | 11 | -9 | 19:28 | 13 | |
1 | Napoli | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 15:6 | 24 | |
2 | Atalanta | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 26:12 | 22 | |
3 | Lazio | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 19:14 | 21 | |
4 | Inter | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 21:10 | 20 | |
5 | AS Roma | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 20:10 | 18 | |
6 | Fiorentina | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 16:11 | 17 | |
7 | AC Milan | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 15:6 | 17 | |
8 | Juventus | 10 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 15:9 | 16 | |
9 | Bologna | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 12:8 | 14 | |
10 | Udinese | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 11:13 | 14 | |
11 | Lecce | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 9:17 | 13 | |
12 | Como | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 13:15 | 12 | |
13 | Parma | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 16:18 | 11 | |
14 | Venezia | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 11:13 | 11 | |
15 | Torino | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 7:10 | 10 | |
16 | Verona | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 11:22 | 10 | |
17 | Genoa | 11 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 10:16 | 9 | |
18 | Cagliari | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 8:18 | 9 | |
19 | Empoli | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 4:11 | 7 | |
20 | Monza | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 10:16 | 6 | |
1 | Napoli | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 17:6 | 23 | |
2 | Inter | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 25:5 | 23 | |
3 | Atalanta | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 18:9 | 21 | |
4 | Juventus | 10 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 17:8 | 18 | |
5 | Lazio | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 15:14 | 15 | |
6 | Fiorentina | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 16:9 | 15 | |
7 | Bologna | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 15:15 | 15 | |
8 | AC Milan | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 14:13 | 14 | |
9 | Genoa | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7:11 | 14 | |
10 | Empoli | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 15:14 | 13 | |
11 | Udinese | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 12:15 | 12 | |
12 | Torino | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 13:15 | 12 | |
13 | Verona | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 13:22 | 9 | |
14 | Cagliari | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 11:15 | 9 | |
15 | Parma | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 9:17 | 8 | |
16 | Lecce | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 5:15 | 7 | |
17 | Como | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 9:18 | 7 | |
18 | Monza | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 9:12 | 7 | |
19 | AS Roma | 10 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 8:16 | 6 | |
20 | Venezia | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 7:20 | 3 |
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