Vasco da Gama - Sao Paulo predictions and free betting tips [23/06/2024]

On Sunday, 23 June, in the 11th round of the Brazilian Serie A, Vasco da Gama will host Sao Paulo. The hosts haven't won a national championship match for more than a month, while the Tricolour are battling to break into the top six and aim to end a three-match winless streak.

Stadium

The match will take place in Rio de Janeiro at the Sao Januario Stadium.

Vasco da Gama

On 12 May, Vasco da Gama defeated Vitoria 2-1, and this remains their last victory in the national championship. The hosts have suffered three defeats and secured one draw in their subsequent four matches, resulting in their current 16th place in the standings, just above Corinthians (both with seven points) due to having one more win.

Alvaro Pacheco's men are particularly concerned about their inability to score consistently: they have left the pitch without goals in three consecutive rounds – 2-0 losses to Palmeiras and Juventude, followed by a goalless draw with Cruzeiro. Pacheco's appointment at the end of May has yet to turn the tide, with Vasco netting only once in their last four games. With seven goals in their first ten matches, the hosts have the third-worst attacking record, while their 21 conceded goals are the worst in the current Serie A campaign. 

Sao Paulo

Sao Paulo aim to capitalise on the weaknesses of their upcoming opponents while breaking their own three-match winless streak. Despite not achieving victory in their last two championship matches (two draws), Luis Zubeldia's squad were undefeated in 13 contests across all competitions (seven in the league) before facing Cuiaba.

However, the Tricolours suffered a shocking 1-0 home loss to the Yellow-Greens, resolved by a late Eliel goal. In two of their last three matches, including a draw with Internacional and the loss to Cuiaba, the visitors failed to score; nonetheless, Sao Paulo boasts the fourth-best defensive record in Serie A (only nine goals conceded). In terms of points secured on the road, the Tricolours sit fourth overall (eight points from five away fixtures, nine goals scored, five conceded). 

Head-to-Head

Vasco da Gama haven't beaten Sao Paulo in their last five head-to-head encounters, with their previous meeting in October last year ending in a goalless draw.

Match Prediction: Vasco da Gama vs. Sao Paulo

Despite Sao Paulo's recent dip in form, the Tricolours are deserved favourites in this clash. Vasco are in a deep crisis and struggling to regain their prior form, with a four-match winless streak seriously denting their confidence. I predict a guest triumph with a zero handicap.

Total Prediction

Sao Paulo scores nearly two goals per game away this season, while the hosts have the worst defensive record. I bet on Sao Paulo's individual total over 1 goal.

Corner Prediction

Sao Paulo will dominate possession from the start, so I back the guests to win on corners.

Yellow Card Prediction

The hosts will face a tough task containing Sao Paulo's rapid attack, likely resulting in many fouls. I predict Vasco to prevail in yellow cards.

Score Prediction

My prediction for the final score is 0-2 in favour of Sao Paulo.