On Friday, 21 June, Palmeiras will host Bragantino as part of the 10th round of the Brazilian Serie A. The home team currently sits in fifth place, closely trailing the league leaders, while the visitors have dropped to eighth position in the standings.
Having secured back-to-back championship titles, Palmeiras was hoping for a more successful start in this campaign. However, Abel Ferreira's team, after three consecutive victories, still finds itself trailing the top spots. In June, the white-and-greens dismantled Criciuma, Vasco da Gama, and Atletico Mineiro. The gap to the leading Botafogo is just three points, making tonight's match crucial. Last weekend, the reigning champions thrashed the Roosters with goals from Moreno, Piquerez, Estevao, and Flaco Lopez.
The hosts have scored eight goals and conceded only one in this period, with just one goal conceded in their last five matches across all competitions. It's worth noting that Palmeiras has struggled at home, collecting only four points in four home games in the national championship (scoring two goals and conceding three).
The visitors have slowed down after a strong start to the campaign, where they went five rounds unbeaten. However, they've suffered two defeats in their last four matches—against Bahia and Atletico Mineiro. Last weekend, Pedro Caixinha's side narrowly clinched a 2-1 victory over Juventude, despite a red card in the 12th minute.
Helinho opened the scoring early, but Mandaca equalised soon after; only a precise shot from a Brazilian in the 83rd minute secured the win for the white-and-reds. Bragantino has not scored more than two goals in a league match this season but has conceded just nine goals overall. It's worth noting that the visitors are 11th in the overall standings for points earned away from home (five points in four away games).
The teams last met in February, with Palmeiras clinching a victory with a score of 0-1. In the last eight head-to-head encounters, the Bulls have managed just one victory.
Bragantino has recently slowed down and deservedly slipped to mid-table, while Palmeiras is fighting for top positions and remains unbeaten in their last six matches across all competitions. Additionally, the Bulls historically struggle against the white-and-greens, so I am backing a triumph for the favourites.
Palmeiras has conceded only four goals in this season's Brazilian Serie A, the best record in the league. Bragantino, on the other hand, has scored just six goals in their last five rounds, so I confidently predict an individual total under 1 goal for the visitors.
With the support of their home crowd, Palmeiras will take the initiative throughout the match, so I am backing the white-and-greens to triumph in corners.
These teams consistently earn around six yellow cards in their head-to-head encounters, so I am betting on a total warning count of over 5.5.
I predict a precise 1-0 scoreline in favour of Palmeiras.
# | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | G | PTS | |
1 | Botafogo | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 43:24 | 50 | |
2 | Fortaleza | 24 | 14 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 30:22 | 48 | |
3 | Palmeiras | 25 | 14 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 38:19 | 47 | |
4 | Flamengo | 24 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 39:28 | 44 | |
5 | Cruzeiro | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 34:26 | 41 | |
6 | Sao Paulo | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 33:26 | 41 | |
7 | Bahia | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 34:27 | 39 | |
8 | Vasco da Gama | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | -5 | 29:34 | 34 | |
9 | Atletico Mineiro | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | -1 | 32:33 | 33 | |
10 | Internacional | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 22:19 | 32 | |
11 | RB Bragantino | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | -1 | 29:30 | 30 | |
12 | Athletico Paranaense | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | -2 | 26:28 | 29 | |
13 | Juventude | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | -6 | 29:35 | 29 | |
14 | Criciuma | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 32:35 | 28 | |
15 | Gremio | 23 | 8 | 3 | 12 | -5 | 23:28 | 27 | |
16 | Fluminense | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | -6 | 20:26 | 27 | |
17 | Corinthians | 25 | 5 | 10 | 10 | -9 | 22:31 | 25 | |
18 | Vitoria | 25 | 6 | 4 | 15 | -13 | 26:39 | 22 | |
19 | Cuiaba | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | -12 | 23:35 | 22 | |
20 | Atletico Goianiense | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | -19 | 21:40 | 18 | |
1 | Fortaleza | 13 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 20:6 | 33 | |
2 | Cruzeiro | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 23:8 | 29 | |
3 | Sao Paulo | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 19:9 | 29 | |
4 | Botafogo | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 22:9 | 28 | |
5 | Palmeiras | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 23:9 | 28 | |
6 | Flamengo | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 19:12 | 26 | |
7 | Bahia | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 17:7 | 26 | |
8 | Vasco da Gama | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 20:17 | 24 | |
9 | RB Bragantino | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 16:11 | 22 | |
10 | Juventude | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 18:11 | 22 | |
11 | Corinthians | 12 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 17:12 | 19 | |
12 | Criciuma | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 17:18 | 18 | |
13 | Atletico Mineiro | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 16:17 | 17 | |
14 | Fluminense | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 13:11 | 17 | |
15 | Internacional | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 12:10 | 16 | |
16 | Gremio | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 12:14 | 16 | |
17 | Athletico Paranaense | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 14:14 | 14 | |
18 | Vitoria | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 15:19 | 14 | |
19 | Cuiaba | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 11:16 | 10 | |
20 | Atletico Goianiense | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 11:20 | 9 | |
1 | Botafogo | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 21:15 | 22 | |
2 | Palmeiras | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 15:10 | 19 | |
3 | Flamengo | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 20:16 | 18 | |
4 | Atletico Mineiro | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 16:16 | 16 | |
5 | Internacional | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 10:9 | 16 | |
6 | Fortaleza | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 10:16 | 15 | |
7 | Athletico Paranaense | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 12:14 | 15 | |
8 | Bahia | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 17:20 | 13 | |
9 | Cruzeiro | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 11:18 | 12 | |
10 | Sao Paulo | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 14:17 | 12 | |
11 | Cuiaba | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 12:19 | 12 | |
12 | Gremio | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 11:14 | 11 | |
13 | Vasco da Gama | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 9:17 | 10 | |
14 | Criciuma | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 15:17 | 10 | |
15 | Fluminense | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 7:15 | 10 | |
16 | Atletico Goianiense | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 10:20 | 9 | |
17 | RB Bragantino | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 13:19 | 8 | |
18 | Vitoria | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 11:20 | 8 | |
19 | Juventude | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 11:24 | 7 | |
20 | Corinthians | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 5:19 | 6 |
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