On Thursday, 20 June, as part of the 10th round of the Brazilian Serie A, São Paulo will host Cuiabá. The hosts have not been able to secure a win in two consecutive matches and risk falling out of the top six with another slip-up, while the visitors find themselves perilously close to the relegation zone.
The match will take place in São Paulo at the Do Morumbi Stadium.
São Paulo could have been at the top of the Serie A standings if not for two consecutive draws. Luis Zubeldia's side settled for a goalless draw against Internacional (0-0) and a 2-2 draw with Corinthians. In the first half, the Tricolor twice took the lead thanks to Lucas Moura and an own goal by Kaka, but the Red and Blacks equalised just before half-time through Igor Coronado and Gustavo Mosquito. Currently, the hosts are in sixth place overall, and a win on Thursday night could see them level on points with Flamengo or Bahia.
It is important to note that São Paulo also aims to extend their 13-match unbeaten streak in all competitions; additionally, the team has not suffered a defeat in their previous seven home games. São Paulo consistently scores two goals per game this season, while their defence is even more impressive: the hosts have not conceded a single goal in five of their last six matches in all competitions.
Last weekend, Cuiabá surprised the football community by thrashing Fortaleza 5-0. Coach Petit's side had to wait a full month for their first victory under his leadership following Luis Fernando Iubel's dismissal. The recent triumph was preceded by a 5-2 demolition of Criciuma on 9 June. In the first half, Clayson, Ramon, and Jonathan Cafu scored, and following an opponent's red card, Pitta and Fernando Sobral also found the net.
Over the last 270 minutes, the Yellow-Greens have scored 11 goals, the best record among all Serie A teams. However, Cuiabá is only 14th in the standings and just one point ahead of Gremio, who are in the relegation zone. The visitors are 14th in overall standings, including points earned on the road (just three in four away matches with six goals scored and nine conceded).
Four of the last six league encounters between São Paulo and Cuiabá have ended in draws, with both clubs securing one win each.
São Paulo has been unbeaten in all competitions for over a month and aims to return to the title race. Cuiabá has been buoyed by two emphatic victories but still lacks the class to pose a significant threat in Brazilian football. No surprises expected here – I'm backing the Tricolor to win with a -1 handicap.
São Paulo averages two goals per game this season, while the visitors have conceded 15 times in nine matches. Confidently, bet on the ITO for São Paulo over 1.5 goals.
São Paulo will dominate possession and attack more frequently; therefore, I'm betting on the hosts to win the corners market with a -1.5 handicap.
Both teams average three yellow cards per game this campaign, so bet on the total yellow cards to be over 4.5.
I'm predicting a correct score of 2-0 in favour of São Paulo.
# | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | G | PTS | |
1 | Botafogo | 26 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 45:25 | 53 | |
2 | Fortaleza | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 32:25 | 49 | |
3 | Palmeiras | 25 | 14 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 38:19 | 47 | |
4 | Flamengo | 24 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 39:28 | 44 | |
5 | Cruzeiro | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 34:26 | 41 | |
6 | Sao Paulo | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 33:26 | 41 | |
7 | Bahia | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 34:27 | 39 | |
8 | Internacional | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 24:20 | 35 | |
9 | Vasco da Gama | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | -5 | 29:34 | 34 | |
10 | Atletico Mineiro | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | -1 | 32:33 | 33 | |
11 | RB Bragantino | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | -1 | 29:30 | 30 | |
12 | Athletico Paranaense | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | -2 | 27:29 | 30 | |
13 | Juventude | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | -6 | 29:35 | 29 | |
14 | Criciuma | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 32:35 | 28 | |
15 | Gremio | 23 | 8 | 3 | 12 | -5 | 23:28 | 27 | |
16 | Fluminense | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | -6 | 20:26 | 27 | |
17 | Vitoria | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | -11 | 28:39 | 25 | |
18 | Corinthians | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | -10 | 23:33 | 25 | |
19 | Cuiaba | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | -12 | 23:35 | 22 | |
20 | Atletico Goianiense | 26 | 4 | 6 | 16 | -21 | 21:42 | 18 | |
1 | Fortaleza | 13 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 20:6 | 33 | |
2 | Botafogo | 13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 24:10 | 31 | |
3 | Cruzeiro | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 23:8 | 29 | |
4 | Sao Paulo | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 19:9 | 29 | |
5 | Palmeiras | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 23:9 | 28 | |
6 | Flamengo | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 19:12 | 26 | |
7 | Bahia | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 17:7 | 26 | |
8 | Vasco da Gama | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 20:17 | 24 | |
9 | RB Bragantino | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 16:11 | 22 | |
10 | Juventude | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 18:11 | 22 | |
11 | Internacional | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 14:11 | 19 | |
12 | Corinthians | 12 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 17:12 | 19 | |
13 | Criciuma | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 17:18 | 18 | |
14 | Atletico Mineiro | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 16:17 | 17 | |
15 | Fluminense | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 13:11 | 17 | |
16 | Gremio | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 12:14 | 16 | |
17 | Athletico Paranaense | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 15:15 | 15 | |
18 | Vitoria | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 15:19 | 14 | |
19 | Cuiaba | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 11:16 | 10 | |
20 | Atletico Goianiense | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 11:22 | 9 | |
1 | Botafogo | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 21:15 | 22 | |
2 | Palmeiras | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 15:10 | 19 | |
3 | Flamengo | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 20:16 | 18 | |
4 | Fortaleza | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 12:19 | 16 | |
5 | Internacional | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 10:9 | 16 | |
6 | Atletico Mineiro | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 16:16 | 16 | |
7 | Athletico Paranaense | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 12:14 | 15 | |
8 | Bahia | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 17:20 | 13 | |
9 | Cruzeiro | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 11:18 | 12 | |
10 | Sao Paulo | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 14:17 | 12 | |
11 | Cuiaba | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 12:19 | 12 | |
12 | Gremio | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 11:14 | 11 | |
13 | Vitoria | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 13:20 | 11 | |
14 | Vasco da Gama | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 9:17 | 10 | |
15 | Criciuma | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 15:17 | 10 | |
16 | Fluminense | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 7:15 | 10 | |
17 | Atletico Goianiense | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 10:20 | 9 | |
18 | RB Bragantino | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 13:19 | 8 | |
19 | Juventude | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 11:24 | 7 | |
20 | Corinthians | 14 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 6:21 | 6 |
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